There’s a limp from the CO, a raise from the. whether a bluff-jam has enough fold equity to make sense. Unfortunately it feels like a fold for a couple of reasons. Fold equity is an important and fairly simple concept that can help you to understand when your bluffs might be profitable. Remember that capitalising on fold equity to steal blinds was one of the primary reasons for open-raising. Determining Value. 251 votes, 71 comments. Fold equity. But should you bet it? No. Suicides among veterans increased 10-fold from 2006 to 2020. Let’s look at an example to calculate fold equity. Learning Push-Fold Ranges is a Must Team PokerStars' Nick Walsh suggests studying push-fold ranges for the latter stages and always be on the front foot where possible. 0. This hand is from 2NL online, playing four-handed. 5. If the initial raiser was a loose-aggressive player (LAG) I’m pretty sure I’d go in, but from a TAG raiser I’m more inclined to call as I don’t think I have a ton of fold equity against. 0. First in with this size stack you're too short to raise and then fold, but too deep to risk your whole stack on poor holdings. Spot #1 Example. If you can get opposing players to fold often, you’ll start to increase your profits drastically. Denying equity from worse hands that can outdraw you can be thought of as a form of fold equity. We don't have sufficient overall fold equity for a continuation bet bluff to be immediately profitable. By following these guidelines, you will be ahead of most of your. We win the pot right. For example, if the pot is $100 and you think there is a 35% chance your opponent folds to a bet, you have 35% fold equity worth $35. Emotional Numbing. Fold equity: Fold equity is simple; your raise tells the other players that you have a strong hand. Fold Equity = 對手蓋牌的機率 x 當對手蓋牌你的 equity 增加. But it is really important in maximizing your fold equity when you push your small stack. In smaller SPR pots you can use a fold equity calculator and Equilab to see how often a player would need to fold versus your shoves…and you can go a step further and use Flopzilla to estimate how often a player actually hits. If an opposing player folds, you’ll win the pot uncontested. One consequence of this is that our 3-bet likely has very little fold equity. Betting does have merit particularly on certain disconnected flops (such as K-7-5) because you will generate a lot of fold equity even with a small bet. The bulk of your equity in the pot is no longer fold equity because you have a pair. Nl10 zoom 6max 120bb effective UTG opens, I 3bet TT from SB, he calls Flop 9d8s2s, I bet 1. For example, 8 ♥ 7 ♥ is a great bluffing hand on a K♣ Q♣ 6 ♥ flop. Hero next used his newfound fold equity to get a number of shoves through, then later found another miracle at the 25,000/50,000 level when he shoved Q-7-offsuit from the button and managed to. . UTG raises to 3bb. Try it for free at solutions • Practice GTO • Analyze hand history Timecod. Ryan’s 25% pot bet gets a fold despite his QQ heavily blocking his opponent’s folding range (hands like QJ, KQ, AQ, etc. Our guiding light in these situations is the pot odds – or what price the pot is laying us to make this call. Knowing how often you need your opponent to fold is a key part of this process, hence we built a calculator to find that number. GET ₹3000 BONUS, Use Code: NEW400. Most of BTN’s bluffs have significant equity and EV on this board. Final Table Bubble. So we check with the intention of seeing a. Equity refers to the share of the pot that belongs to a player if there were no more actions to be made and the rest of the cards are dealt. Fold equity is a crucial element of poker strategy that allows you to estimate the probability of your opponent folding their hand. 406 votes, 71 comments. Tip #2: Avoid Slow-Playing Trips or Two-Pair. com ポーカーをしばらくプレイしたことがある人なら、フォールドエクイティという言葉を聞いたことがあるのではないでしょうか。 この記事では、フォールドエクイティとは何か、そしてなぜテーブルで最大限. In this case, you should be continuation betting less as a bluff and more for value. b) If you opponent calls your semi-bluff, you have the chance to complete your draw on the turn & river. There are very few professional 5-card draw players. Final Thoughts. a standard opening size of 2. How to Use the Poker Odds Calculator. We “win” when our opponent folds. CryptoThis is a a spot where my opponent is very likely to be strong and there isn't really any fold equity or much dead money, so 4bet jamming AQo for 65bb seems like a losing play. These differences also impact the way that such hands should be played. Free Squeeze Math Spreadsheet. If the 4bs are as nitty as you claim they are, I don't think Villains are going to 4b/f often enough with QQ/AK to justify. If you’re playing at a 9-handed table, you should fold it from the two earliest positions (UTG and UTG+1 in the graphic below). As an example, let’s suppose Player 1 had. Moreover, this is not the sort of spot where we are likely to generate mistakes from our opponent: something. the second raise) before the flop. Well, equity refers to the share of the pot that belongs to you based on the percentage chance you have to win a hand at any given point. Actor. The first skill in Ed Miller’s The Course — and really, the first skill any poker player needs to master — is having a good pre-flop range. Fire the flop like you hit with a pot sized bet is cheaper with more fold equity I think. If he folds more than 38% of the time, this bet is outright +EV. No problem, you can make these yourself using free pio. Playing the big stack. Fold equity is the equity that you gain that based on the probability that your opposition will fold to your bet (or raise) which will win you the pot. In other words, there is a very good chance they are the best hand right now. To calculate the EV of a bluff raise on the flop, we need to have a look at our fold equity. You get so much fold equity by shoving. It's also because the extra equity (from the bd draw otf) evaporates, but you'll have other bluff candidates that tend to retain their equity better. 88% equity when you jam. We generate fold equity preflop; We still have very good equity when called, even if we end up being a small dog; Most players do not punish us anywhere close to enough with 4bets; To illustrate this last point, an expert winning short-handed player will typically have a 4bet range of 4-5%. Other times, a min-raise can be most effective. On coordinated boards, our bluffing success will be low. In Poker Satellite Strategy professional poker player Dara O’Kearney gives you a framework for how to approach. Now would be a good time to switch gears and benefit from your confused opponents paying you off light. A line graph or scatter plot of a player’s hand vs range equity, sorted from weakest to strongest, such that the equity of every individual combination in the range is represented. e. A-Q with the Qc or A-K with the Kc will raise and make it two bets. You could also add “3bet bluffs’ to your range to “balance” this out and not be so predictable. dontwantleague2C • 6 mo. Squeezing for value is a great way to build up the pot preflop, and it translates to much easier post flop play as well. When there is a high likelihood of you being called, you're better off betting made hands than making bluffs. Dr. Hero raises to 11bb. Next, we'll often miss the flop and have the decision of whether we want to c-bet or not. In its simplest poker terms, fold equity is the value gained by you taking aggressive action that could result in your opponent folding their hand. Hero is dealt in the big blind. It doesn’t mean you should necessarily fold automatically, but you should be aware that players don’t usually 3-bet with hands weaker than Ace-Jack (unless they’re bluffing, of course. Here’s an overview of the process. Finding Value In Tournaments. Nevertheless, you can still do it by keeping up your play and thinking about the game away from the tables. You should honestly go even tighter than the suggested ranges to adjust for having less fold equity and higher rake at micros lol @ spewing live due to being in online mode, I literally just did that too. At SPR 3, you would need $300/$700 = 43% equity to call a $300 bet. Fold equity = (khả năng đối thủ sẽ fold) * (equity hand bài của đối thủ). A single red chip is all it takes to enroll in CORE today. Everyone bets 1/2 pot, you've trained yourself to bet 1/2 pot, so you just auto-bet 1/2 pot. They want to increase fold equity now and not give too much headroom to postflop play. Obviously, this kind of calculation is hard to make in-game when we don't know our opponent's hand. You could just include the suited combos if you want to be precise about it. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. Cast & Crew. To get fold equity you have to bet or raise. 9 table seat. GGpoker. To save you some time I’ll do the equity calculation for you so you can visualize AQ’s equity against a few types of calling ranges (going from a very tight QQ+/AK (2. For example, suppose you’ve bet $100 into a pot of $100, giving your opponent 2:1 to call (your opponent has to call $100 to win $200). This guide will walk you through the concept of fold equity, explain the formula, provide step-by-step examples, and answer common questions to help you become a more formidable poker player. Fold the rest. Even though ace-king is a. Demonstration of fold equity strategy – A situational example. 2. Mostly. 8 = 0. The effectiveness of the second barrel into an overcard of the turn on 9T7s and T62r boards will vary greatly. But incorporating fold equity into our decision as to whether to raise or call is a concept for another time and another article, so for our purposes (and for many at the tables) our opponent is. I get the concept (somewhat) of putting certain hands in certain situations into your range. In a nutshell, though, it is the likelihood that your opponent will fold to your bet. For example, consider that suited connectors have around 30–40 percent equity before the flop against most of the hands your opponent will continue with. MP calls. One common. When considering what we block and unblock this hand seems like it. En el poker podemos ganar dinero de dos formas: la primera es llegando al showdown y teniendo la mejor mano, la segunda es consiguiendo que tu rival se retire de su mano, y dé por vencido el bote. the non-raked PF pot (which is +$5 not lost to dealer’s equity/rake) when it folds through. You won the entire pot employing fold equity and your opponent folding. 元記事： What is Fold Equity and Why Does it Matter? Learn all about a crucial poker concept. The fold equity equation is a simple calculation that involves two main components: the likelihood your opponent folds and the potential gain in equity if they do fold. It might seem weak to fold preflop, but we have a hand that likely is not ahead of our opponent's range and thus likely also has little ability to create fold equity. We can even do very complex fold equity calculations with the same process: Let's say your question is: "The pot is $256, my bet is $340, 3 players, one of them only have $130 left. Pentru a determina cât de mult fold equity ai, există câțiva factori pe care trebuie să îi iei mereu în considerare, înainte de a apela la un play. You must understand fold equity and have a hud (mostly to calculate fold equity) to use ICM effectively. The amount of equity a player gains from their opponent folding when they make a bluff. Plays too many…PODCAST EPISODE 012. The percent of time that an opponent will fold to your bet is known as your “fold equity”. The opponent checks, and it’s your turn to act. Similarly, this is the reason why passive players are often. Use Non-Made Hands With Backdoor Flush Draws to Bluff. Once players have checked their cards they can choose to add. While Equity Trust is a popular choice for gold IRAs, if you want to choose a different custodian you’re out of luck at Silver Gold Bull. On a basic level, fold equity can be summarized by the following simple statements: How much fold equity do we have? If we think it is likely that our opponent will fold to our bet,. The term is typically used in the context of call-versus-raise or bet-versus-check decisions. The spreadsheet simplifies a number of calculations for you, including the breakeven % given your squeeze size, the breakeven % given similar squeeze sizes, a simple original vs continuance range fold. We Cbet $160. Before you go all-in with your next semi-bluff, or go all-in preflop with a bluff, use this tool to make sure your play is +EV! Fold Equity. r/poker A chip A chipAn Online Pro's first day playing Live. Let’s say that you open-raise with 5♣ 5♦ from the Cutoff, the Button 3-bets, and you call. What Does Fold Equity Mean? The profitability of any bet is determined by combining your calculated fold equity with your pot equity (the percentage likelihood of winning the pot with your hand at that moment. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. Key Factors to consider for an effective fold equity strategy. a) You have immediate fold equity when betting the flop – your opponent might just give up right there vs your bet and you win the hand. Game was 1-3 with stacks ranging from 500 to 1500. " 1) Calculate your current total equity in dollars. and a fold to pocket aces. 푸시 (Push) 올인 베팅하는. . There are just too few turns. 67 into 5. General Theorem: Project a nitty image but 3bet like a. Even if he thinks Rigby is overbluffing it is likely that he is going to have something that has a decent amount of equity vs 3rd pair. But it's even bigger when you're up against a very tough, intelligent, and aggressive. Calling this bet requires contributing $100 to a final pot of $300, so you would need $100/$300 = 33% equity. There's a free poker equity calculator here on PokerNews. Try it for free at solutions • Practice GTO • Analyze hand history Timecod. Players who limp like to see flops. Anhand des Equity-Werts können Sie auch versuchen Ihren Gegner einfach aus dem Pot zu bluffen. 7% (16/35). and analyzed by Doug in the private Upswing Lab group: Online Cash 6-Handed. Preflop Skills. If he folds more than 38% of the time, this bet is outright +EV. So either our 3-bet is going to get called and we’re playing the hand out of position, or worse we may face a 4-bet from a player marked with a strong range. If you are not betting or raising then you are not giving your opponent the opportunity to fold, so you will have no fold equity. This is compounded by the fact that they are playing 1500 blinds deep. You check, and the Button c-bets about 33% of the pot. La fold equity entre en ligne de compte dans le calcul d' EV d'une mise ou d'une relance. The more fold equity, the more profitable the bluff, and the less fold equity, the more should you be willing to give up altogether and count your losses. Fold equity is a more elusory concept because we can’t truly know how often our opponent will fold. As a general rule, off-suit hands will struggle more to realize their equity by around 10-15%, while suited hands will only lose around 5-10% of their equity. 35 * $1,000) + (0. The current pot size. The inversion is also true, the worse the turn is for your range, the more you want to check and play defense. Solid smug guy 3bets $25 from HJ. Equity refers to the share of the pot that belongs to a player if there were no more actions to be made and the rest of the cards are dealt. With more players in the pot, your fold equity diminishes and you will be called more often. Evan hadn’t been playing super loose, so even though he is the chip leader, there are plenty of hands. Against a 10% range you have an equity of 53%. ENROLL FOR JUST $5. QQ: I open UTG to $10. Due to their lack of aggressiveness, there is little reasoning behind pot controlling weak hands or draws. Closing It Out. Everyone has been afflicted from. Remember that capitalising on fold equity to steal blinds was one of the primary reasons for open-raising. Balance vs Exploitative: Exploitative bet sizings account for the exploitable tendencies of your opponent so that you can maximise your EV. Knowing how to read the board and analyze what possible hands can be out there is the. Seen it reversed at the Cascade Casino in Langley BC, Canada. BOOM! Keeping his best poker face to not reveal any tells of his complete and utter confusion the SB quickly runs the calculation again, from. In summary, game theory suggests that due to having a big equity advantage, BU’s range should frequently bet for either value, as a bluff, or for equity denial on a low paired flop. Conversely you have 42. 5. Good opponents will usually have a fold to continuation bet somewhere around 42%–57% at the lower stakes. Let’s say you bet top-two on the turn, and your opponent folds a flush draw. Reading about sit n go strategy can help. Again, fish and shitregs have no concept of how to calculate fold equity. His huge fold equity is much more relevant and also why it's a low variance play imo. Fold equity. You think that A-9, A-7 and A-6 will call, and A-5, A-4 and A-2 will fold. What Does Fold Equity Mean? The profitability of any bet is determined by combining your calculated fold equity with your pot equity (the percentage likelihood of winning the pot with your hand at that moment. If your opponent is playing an overly capped limping range that is not calling often enough then you want to raise these holdings smaller and add more suited cards to the bluff side of this. Ranges. A shove of 17k into a 10k bet has very little fold equity, whereas a 3x 20BB call has a lot more. SB calls and all else fold and we go to the flop HU. To further clarify. ). A satellite poker tournament is a qualifying event to another, usually larger buy-in event. Opponents who stray from this range can be exploited. Two Sick Hands With Coach Analysis. They will then both fold (1/2) × (1/2) = 25 percent or 1/4 of the time. Read this article to learn what "fold equity" is and how you should utilize the concept. You decide to call. As your fold equity increases, the profitability of your bluffs (or semi-bluff) increase. We “win” when our. ซึ่งการที่เราจะใช้บลัฟล้วนๆ (Pure Bluff) ให้ได้กำไรจะอาศัยจาก Fold Equity เพียงอย่างเดียว เพราะเราไม่เหลือโอกาสชนะจากไพ่ของเราแล้ว(Hand Equity. How is fold equity calculated? There’s a pretty simple formula that will help you. They really want to see a flop. But V will 4-bet with exactly the same frequency no matter what you hold. It is understandable why he would be enticed by cold-calling, though, because: The pot odds are not horrendous (needing around 38% realized equity)If you have decent fold equity now, definitely take the shove, and that way later, you can fold a hand later like ace-five with your slightly bigger stack, to avoid getting in crushed, or you can. Based on the standard EV equation for a bet, we find: FE >= (Bet -X)/ (Pot + Bet -X) where X = Eq* (Pot + 2*Bet) 3. Él dice que tiene patrimonial de R $ 2,9 millón. old hand. LA FOLD EQUITY. e. Flush draws make for great semi-bluffing hands on flops and turns. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. We Cbet $160. This causes us to simultaneously realize more equity and deny our opponents’ hands equity. The balance between collecting on fold equity and equity realization is a constant struggle for good players and something you will need to actively work on. Key points. 1. On the turn V makes a 2/3 pot bet. We face a 5-bet all-in and get to make a profitable call off with AK. Fold equity is an important concept, although it's a concept that tends mainly towards tournaments. Fold equity is based on how much of the time you think your bet will fold out the opponent. However, if you bet or. In this example, you have $14,000 in negative equity because you owe your lender $14,000 more than your home is worth. Contra un rango del 10% tienes una equity del 53%. The “Resteal” and “Call Steal” rows are used if an opponent has open-raised from the CO or BTN. With $100 in the effective stack and $100 in the pot, the SPR was $100/$100 = 1. 5. But the hand’s equity is only -1075, so they know that calling would be a. Check out our PRO Poker Membership today for just $50/month! Game Theory Optimal poker, better known as GTO, has taken the poker world by storm in recent years. This means that when either an ace or a king rolls off on the turn or the river, your bets will render a ton of fold equity. Fold equity is an important concept, although it's a concept that tends mainly towards tournaments. La fold equity entre en ligne de compte dans le calcul d' EV d'une mise ou d'une relance. If I was out of position, it would be impossible navigate the river as I would not. This strategy is to gain value from weaker hands, control initiative, build a pot, and gain fold equity - by realising all your hand’s equity and Villain realises none of his by folding. Even some of the basic information in an educational poker program is helpful, such as the ability to see chip stacks in big blinds instead of larger numbers. CO c-bets 33% pot. hero…So in this event because I shoved $6X into $4X preflop pot, I would like to know my fold equity in addition to pot equity that is adjusted for hitting the $5 rake cap if the PFR does call making it a ~$130 + +$40 in dead-money pot of $170. Position on the Table: Positional advantage gives. R/Poker is currently…235K subscribers in the poker community. Nevertheless, you can still do it by keeping up your play and thinking about the game away from the tables. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. The best poker rooms. Know Your Pot Odds. We can even do very complex fold equity calculations with the same process: Let's say your question is: "The pot is $256, my bet is $340, 3 players, one of them only have $130 left. Tip #2 – Never slow play trips or two pair. Barreling Skills. They will often be paired, and have few draws available. This makes stealing the blinds and antes sitting in the pot very valuable, and this is the perfect time to make full use of fold equity. Fold equity is a concept in poker strategy that is especially important when a player becomes short-stacked in a no limit (or possibly pot limit) tournament. However using it as a "bluff" to balance out your range seems fine. Let’s look at an example to calculate fold equity. The percent of time that an opponent will fold to your bet is known as your “fold equity”. Business, Economics, and Finance. Equity. A combo draw could be something like a flush draw + 2 overcards to the flop, or a. If you have an unpaired hand with a backdoor flush draw, you should heavily consider betting if you have the betting initiative. When you face a preflop shove you only have two options (barring multi-way situations): you can call or you can fold. If your range consisted of 30. Here are some reasonable defending ranges vs. Limping. Folding. ). Players who limp like to see flops. Learn how to calculate this basic poker math and make successful bluffs. 폴드 에퀴티 (Fold Equity) 플레이어의 베팅에 대하여, 상대 플레이어가 승부를 하지 않고 폴드할 가능성을 말합니다. They are similar to stations in that they do not often fold to c-bets, except these guys also use their raise button and understand the fundamental concept of pressure and fold equity. With no chance of winning the pot at showdown, you have to rely on fold equity to determine whether or not you should bluff the river. or just $240 (the pot) Smaller bet sizes on wet boards are ineffective, as they let your opponent(s) realize their equity too easily. Fold Equity takes the “equity” concept a step further and refers to the amount of equity a player gains in the hand from betting or raising and making their opponent fold. The BTN has room to call and still fold some hands to a BB shove, but even that comes at a cost. My bluffs would all contain blockers to villains value hands (suited aces). 65 * -$500) = $350 – $325 = $25. it looks like a good card for u but its actually a really good card for ip. The concept of fold equity has always been with us, though its name is somewhat new. His betting range should be somewhat merged in order to capitalize on the fold equity he’s getting from all of Berri’s missed overcards. When your opponent has a low fold to continuation bet, you have less fold equity. A significant portion of our value range is comprised of hands that have ~60%. It is the equity a player can expect to gain due to the opponent folding to his or her bets. As a result you need to tighten up your 3bet range. So at deeper stacks there’s a lot more incentive to create a SB flatting range. If you find yourself in a situation where your opponent probably isn’t folding no matter what, you have no. If you’ve got a 1,500 chip starting stack, the 6 max blinds and antes at the 50/100 level could be 210 chips and collecting these adds 14% to your stack. In a nutshell, though, it is the. This is because you will be pot committed by a regular raise and a shove generates fold equity - that is, it means you will win the pot more than you would if you saw all five cards. For example, if the pot is $100 and you think there is a 35% chance your opponent folds to a bet, you have 35% fold equity worth $35. I saw BB limp UTG with 83s previously,. However, your original loan that you took when home prices were higher is still in place, and you owe your lender $134,000. Contra un rango del 10% tienes una equity del 53%. CO folds. I highly doubt he thinks that Rigby has 2 undercards. But once you reach the river, things change. Él dice que tiene patrimonial de R $ 2,9 millón. One final nail in the coffin for suited connectors at this stack depth is the reduced fold equity postflop, which is a result of more hands becoming committed to the pot. These boards tend to have a high top card, like and ace or a king. As an example, let’s suppose Player 1 had. Effective stacks are ~$1. a standard Early Position raise of 2. The stat to look for in determining which style to use is the fold the 3-bet stat. Fold Equity: If you believe that your opponent has a weak hand and will likely fold if you are aggressive, then a semi-bluff can be a great move. It is possible to have a multi-faceted hand which has additional components to go with a flush draw – such as a pair or a straight draw. A term referring specifically to the amount of equity a player gains from likelihood of an opponent folding to a bet. 14 votes, 94 comments. And maybe, when you really work out the range for a called 3-bet, check call. 10bb Push/Fold Charts. For example, if you go all-in preflop with Pocket Aces and another player calls with Pocket Kings, there is. No matter if your hand improves on the flop or not, fold equity gives you the credit you need for your opponents' to lay-down to you. Fold equity is displayed as a percentage, although it also has a monetary value attached to it. The difference is that rather than considering our pot-equity to obtain values of P (winning) and P (losing) we will consider our fold-equity. The Final Table. Fold equity is an advanced concept that allows players to get value from both potential folds as well as potential showdowns. This typically results in more aggressive play near the money and final table bubble in order to maximize pressure on our opponents. When the action folds to you and you have Ace-Ten offsuit, you should almost always raise. Hey all, relatively new player here. 1. Business, Economics, and Finance. 在鬆桌，玩家沒有蓋牌鍵的時候，你怎麼加，pre-flop他們沒有fold equity，AK翻前的領先變得沒有用了，除非pre-flop/post-flop all-in給最大壓力. 2. At this stack depth, you can expect to get called. This is an issue of equity, health, and justice. That is vs. Not sure wtf you’re on but this was rationally correct and the solver would play it the same way most of the time. Hero has a 10BB stack. $1/$2 Multiway Pots. He said to have equity of R $ 2,9 millions. You will generate a lot more fold equity if you are the first person to enter the pot - if you shove over a raise or even a limp you are more likely to be called. Strip everything away and fold equity is the probability a player will fold to a bet or raise. com Fold equity refers to your chances of causing your opponent to fold. The effective stack, or how much you are shoving. Solvers often fold hands with more than enough raw equity and call hands without sufficient equity. Calculating the EV for the first outcome is easy: Villain Folds: $148 x 0. With this he is balancing the times that he represent strong values. For this example, we will assume that Villain 3-bets 50% of the time with orange/red hands, and folds all the pink hands.